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	<title>by-elections Archives | Elizabeth May</title>
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	<description>MP for Saanich and Gulf Islands</description>
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	<title>by-elections Archives | Elizabeth May</title>
	<link>https://elizabethmaymp.ca/tag/by-elections/</link>
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		<title>Green Party congratulates Leader Annamie Paul on historic gains in Toronto Centre by-election</title>
		<link>https://elizabethmaymp.ca/green-party-congratulates-leader-annamie-paul-on-historic-gains-in-toronto-centre-by-election/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Elizabeth May]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2020 23:59:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Press Releases]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Annamie Paul]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[by-elections]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://elizabethmaymp.ca/?p=24569</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>October 26, 2020 OTTAWA – The Green Party of Canada congratulates Leader Annamie Paul and her campaign team on running an extraordinary campaign in the Toronto-Centre by-election, despite&#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca/green-party-congratulates-leader-annamie-paul-on-historic-gains-in-toronto-centre-by-election/">Green Party congratulates Leader Annamie Paul on historic gains in Toronto Centre by-election</a> appeared first on <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca">Elizabeth May</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>October 26, 2020</p>
<p>OTTAWA  – The Green Party of Canada congratulates Leader Annamie Paul and her campaign team on running an extraordinary campaign in the Toronto-Centre by-election, despite the challenges of campaigning during a pandemic. Ms. Paul, who made history earlier this month as the first Black person and Jewish woman to be elected as leader of a major party, made considerable gains in the riding, coming in second place with 32.7 per cent of the vote. As the Green Party candidate in the 2019 federal election, Ms. Paul secured seven per cent of the vote. </p>
<p>“Congratulations to Annamie Paul, her campaign team and all the volunteers who worked so hard during this unprecedented campaign,” said Green Party Interim Executive Director Anik Lajoie. “Voters across the country are resonating with the Green message and we will keep building on this momentum.”</p>
<p>Ms. Paul was born in Toronto Centre and has deep roots in the community.</p>
<p># # #</p>
<p>For more information or to arrange an interview: </p>
<p>Rosie Emery</p>
<p>Press Secretary </p>
<p>613-562-4916&#215;206</p>
<p>rosie.emery@greenparty.ca</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca/green-party-congratulates-leader-annamie-paul-on-historic-gains-in-toronto-centre-by-election/">Green Party congratulates Leader Annamie Paul on historic gains in Toronto Centre by-election</a> appeared first on <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca">Elizabeth May</a>.</p>
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		<title>Good Sunday Morning &#8211; October 25</title>
		<link>https://elizabethmaymp.ca/good-sunday-morning-october-25/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Elizabeth May]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2020 16:26:36 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles by Elizabeth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Good Sunday Morning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Publications]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[by-elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[covid19]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://elizabethmaymp.ca?p=22989</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>While waiting for election results Good Sunday Morning! As loyal readers, you likely know by now that I write GSM on Saturday. And I usually try to be&#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca/good-sunday-morning-october-25/">Good Sunday Morning &#8211; October 25</a> appeared first on <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca">Elizabeth May</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>
<h2>While waiting for election results</h2>
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<div id="content">
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<p><strong>Good Sunday Morning!</strong></p>
<p>As loyal readers, you likely know by now that I write GSM on Saturday. And I usually try to be right on top of the latest news. But today, I am going to take a chance and NOT write about the election results from the two elections happening right now.</p>
<p>With COVID and mailed in ballots, we may not know for a while how things turn out in British Columbia and in Saskatchewan. I am too nervous to think about the results in BC. I am so very proud of all 74 candidates, of a brilliant campaign and especially of our spectacular caucus of my own MLA, Adam Olsen and my dear friend, our BC leader, Sonia Furstenau. No matter the result, they ran the best and most inspiring campaign. I am too nervous to write about it.</p>
<p>And I am also too nervous to write about the by-election in Toronto Centre, where people go to the polls tomorrow. I will be making more phone calls for Annamie Paul tomorrow … All my love and best wishes to our amazing national leader.</p>
<p>For fun, <a href="https://www.sgigreenparty.ca/r?u=GQ96LxW7tJscudkL8mlwNzVEKXk7dMDJzwJlfbbiiRYee8UDS_2mgbQrSToHgxgU&amp;e=804484a1d2d98bc4fce839fe8428f671&amp;utm_source=saanichgulfislandsgreenpartyca&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=gsm_20201025&amp;n=1&amp;test_email=1" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here’s a little YouTube of Annamie and me with Mark Critch from “This Hour has 22Minutes.”</a></p>
<p>So what am I going to write about? Movies!</p>
<p>With the US election and crazy American politics on our minds, there two US political dramas that are well worth watching. The Trial of the Chicago 7 and Mrs. America.<br />
Mrs. America is an excellent 9-episode series (findable on Fx for Hulu) about the efforts to pass the Equal Rights Amendment back in the 1970s. The story focuses on the work of anti-women’s rights campaigner Phyllis Schlafly (played brilliantly by Cate Blanchet) plus a great cast depicting my heroes Gloria Steinem, Betty Freidan (Tracy Ullman is fabulous in the role!), Shirley Chisholm, and Bella Abzug. The film makes a compelling case that Schlafly’s manipulation of the Republican Party not only defeated the ERA but led that party to a dangerous move to the right giving rise to the political power of the Christian Right – with disastrous results for democracy.<br />
Due to COVID, the release of The Trial of the Chicago 7 was moved to Netflix, which I was happy to discover after missing it at Star Cinema. It is the work of Aaron Sorkin and also has an amazing ensemble cast taking us back to the 1968 Chicago convention and a completely outrageous political trial. The dramatization of the events involving Bobby Seale, Abby Hoffman, Jerry Rubin, Tom Hayden, with stellar roles for the lawyers and politicos had a very talented cast (Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, Sacha Baron Cohen, Daniel Flaherty, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Michael Keaton, Frank Langella, John Carroll Lynch, Eddie Redmayne, Noah Robbins, Mark Rylance, Alex Sharp, and Jeremy Strong.)</p>
<p>For me, the whole experience of watching the films was reliving a whole pile of memories. In the late 1980s, I became very good friends with Bella Abzug. Watching Mrs. America with my daughter, I paused the screen every now and then to tell a story or correct something. Like when Bella tells someone it was her mother who told her to wear hats. “No,” I told Cate, “It was her husband.” Remembering Bella’s story (play in your mind with a strong Brooklyn accent):</p>
<p>When I was first a young lawyer, I’d go for a deposition at another lawyer’s office. And I’d go to the receptionist and tell her “Bella Abzug, lawyer for the plaintiff.” And I’d take a seat in the waiting room and nothing would happen and after a while, I’d go back the desk and ask “What are we waiting for?” and the secretary would say, “We’re waiting for the lawyer from your firm.” And I’d say “I am the lawyer from my firm.” So I got so frustrated and I said to my husband, “What do I have to do to get them to recognize I am a lawyer? And Marty said, “Wear a hat. Secretaries don’t wear hats.”</p>
<p>The memories from 1968 were harder to process. I was 14 years old when I was tear-gassed at the Chicago Convention, when the National Guard in their trucks with rectangular screens riddled with barbed wire cut us off in Grant Park, blocking one direction and hundreds of Chicago police in their baby blue helmets started moving into crowds with billy clubs flying. Sharing those memories with my husband brought me back to the moment when I realized that all the protections of civil liberties in a democracy can vanish in a nano-second. In the film, former Attorney-General Ramsey Clark tells the court, “The police started the riot.” That’s what I remember.</p>
<p>I remember being separated from my mom who attended the convention as a delegate for Eugene McCarthy. The ticket she bought for me to sit in the family of delegates section was taken over by Chicago municipal workers with “We love Mayor Daley” placards. So I was there opening night only, sitting right behind Allen Ginsberg. By the next night, I was with the other family members of delegates for peace miles from the convention centre watching the convention on television. After the peace plank failed on the Wednesday night, despairing and sad, a few of us had all walked out into the park in the sunshine. I watched sailboats on Lake Michigan and a Blue Cross softball game in progress. There was no demonstration. But that’s when the military and the police rolled in. We only escaped by making it under an overpass to our hotel door, where we were only let in because we had a room key. I’ll never forget trying to wash the stinging tear gas from my eyes and how it stung my gums because of my braces.</p>
<p>That night my mom and the other delegates had a candlelit march to protest the violence, walking back from the convention centre the several miles back to the downtown. We were shell-shocked.</p>
<p>And now I watch the US. The horrors of Trump and the Proud Boys, the militias and the insane rumours and conspiracy theories. We can all hope and pray that there is a peaceful transition to a new Administration.</p>
<p>For now, fingers crossed we have a Good Sunday Morning!</p>
<p>Elizabeth</p>
<p>PS If you want to sign up, I am a panelist and what should be an interesting session:</p>
<p>Tuesday, Oct 27, 2020 11:00 AM Eastern Time<br />
Paris: Getting to a Green &amp; Just Recovery</p>
<p>For program details, visit Scaling Up website: <a href="https://www.scalingupconference.ca/program" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://www.scalingupconference.ca/program</a></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca/good-sunday-morning-october-25/">Good Sunday Morning &#8211; October 25</a> appeared first on <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca">Elizabeth May</a>.</p>
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		<title>Good Sunday Morning &#8211; Oct 18</title>
		<link>https://elizabethmaymp.ca/good-sunday-morning-oct-18/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Elizabeth May]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Oct 2020 13:43:58 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles by Elizabeth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Good Sunday Morning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Publications]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[by-elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[covid19]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://elizabethmaymp.ca?p=22976</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Elections galore! (October 18, 2020) Good Sunday Morning! Election count-downs galore – Six days until voting is done in British Columbia and Saskatchewan! Eight days until the two&#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca/good-sunday-morning-oct-18/">Good Sunday Morning &#8211; Oct 18</a> appeared first on <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca">Elizabeth May</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>
<h2>Elections galore! (October 18, 2020)</h2>
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<div id="content">
<div id="intro">
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<p><strong>Good Sunday Morning!</strong></p>
<p>Election count-downs galore – Six days until voting is done in British Columbia and Saskatchewan!</p>
<p>Eight days until the two Toronto federal by-elections!</p>
<p>Fifteen days until the <a href="https://www.sgigreenparty.ca/r?u=FECXgvVBAH18GBWRCy8D9V3XiC_fWzCCYR0e-yIn3sI04TSM927RX3JsYOv9KYKEj2raFC5RV_obyGdLxm4Fw1n_6eeCdSEmNkRVj9kwD2kVy2P1G8fsE3C---R4o-UaIkbARi2HO5b3y0rigR9POw&amp;e=804484a1d2d98bc4fce839fe8428f671&amp;utm_source=saanichgulfislandsgreenpartyca&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=gsm_20201018&amp;n=1&amp;test_email=1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Prince Edward Island By-election in Charlottetown</a>!</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>And the scariest of the scary elections- 16 days until the US presidential election.</p>
<p>All of these elections and their campaigns have been taking place in the shadow of COVID.</p>
<p>In all of these Greens are running to make a difference – and in most cases – to win.</p>
<p>And I chose my words carefully – the voting will be <em>done</em> by October 24 here in BC, but with the volume of mail-in ballots some anticipate we may have a longish wait to have the results.</p>
<p>We had extremely good news from our New Zealand cousins. Their election on Friday resulted in a landslide win for Labour and its leader Jacinda Ardern. The success of the Greens in New Zealand has gotten less notice on this side of the Pacific.</p>
<p>There are several important take-aways from the NZ vote. Twenty-four years ago, New Zealand got rid of First Past the Post, opting for Mixed Member Proportional (MMP).</p>
<p><em>Quick refresher: under MMP the parliament reflects the way the electorate actually voted in terms of allocating seats to align with the percentage vote by party.  Some seats are won as we do in Canada – the winning candidate got the most votes in that electoral district. The rest of the seats are “at large” – not tied to any particular district, but used to rebalance the proportion of seats to the proportion of public support.</em></p>
<p>Ardern’s victory puts paid to a typical objection to Proportional Representation – that it always results in minority governments. This NZ election makes it clear that, even under MMP, a party can win a majority government.  I will leave to one side the reality the one party having all the power does not give us the best kind of decisions.</p>
<p>The major right wing party, the National Party, suffered a huge defeat.  New Zealand First, a smaller right wing effort, lost all its seats falling far below the 5% vote threshold.   <a href="https://www.sgigreenparty.ca/r?u=BOdf-ip-bFRCEZibDBbHGso8y4IlAvKw1FEWKGwv4U0jmL0ZrSxnpQ0oUSSeqxhL&amp;e=804484a1d2d98bc4fce839fe8428f671&amp;utm_source=saanichgulfislandsgreenpartyca&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=gsm_20201018&amp;n=2&amp;test_email=1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-54519628</a></p>
<p>For the New Zealand Greens and co-leaders James Shaw and Marama Davidson, the election result was a huge win.  Winning 8% of the popular vote, Greens will likely emerge with ten seats (up from 8) under MMP. As well, in a stunning breakthrough popular young Green MP Chloe Swarbrick won the seat of Auckland Central. (You may remember Chloe from the Green Party of Canada Convention in 2018 by video link or from her quip in parliament “OK Boomer.”)</p>
<p>Chloe Swarbrick’s win is only the second time in the NZ Greens’ history that a seat was won on FPTP terms.  <a href="https://www.sgigreenparty.ca/r?u=UvCCd8GcsmKKe6vGMpaWvx9UUqs_KXFhDH7l3xfdTIAbYGHZlHsGRtFMV35RMr1kkeqFePkRl3CFEJR7RZtCXd7Hz53nm8Ow6scfFJGuIwfQRDt87l7iy9hzxjSro8PJCFiJIINLYlML3TXNGQm7XEn9Eh74lMoAnrvsVXi2kcGVK15446gOIbQeQmdmrnWP&amp;e=804484a1d2d98bc4fce839fe8428f671&amp;utm_source=saanichgulfislandsgreenpartyca&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=gsm_20201018&amp;n=3&amp;test_email=1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/election-results-2020-the-greens-chloe-swarbrick-has-historic-win-in-auckland-central/QWFZDA46IWABJZEML7FLUQIQFA/</a></p>
<p>It is important for Greens, especially in BC, to consider how and why the NZ voters returned the Greens with more seats in Parliament.  Greens went into the election looking at falling numbers in the polls. In fact, there were serious concerns that the party would fall below the 5% threshold. They had worked constructively with the ruling Labour party for three years under a CSA &#8211; Confidence and Supply Agreement. (Sound familiar?)</p>
<p>Unlike the BC CSA, the New Zealand Greens had Cabinet roles, with co-leader James Shaw holding both minister of statistics and climate.  Ardern’s strong climate policies owe an enormous amount to Shaw. So too was the New Zealand COVID lock-down a credit to Shaw, who as minister of statistics explained to skeptical members of the other parties the nature of exponential growth of virus infection rates. The “go early-go hard” strategy was also a credit to Greens.</p>
<p>But being supportive and collaborative in a CSA often leads to the “junior partner” losing ground.  That is why Chloe Swarbrick made the brave decision to leave the party list for an at-large seat and contest Auckland Central to win the seat outright – just in case the party failed to hit the 5% threshold.</p>
<p>But the New Zealand electorate could see there was no chance of the right wing National party gaining ground. Like the BC Liberals, their campaign was a flop and support in free-fall.  At the last minute, there was a surge of support for the New Zealand Greens.</p>
<p>The dynamics are similar in BC. John Horgan is no Jacinda Ardern. If British Columbia has a Jacinda Ardern, it is our own Sonia Furstenau! BC Greens now have the momentum. Fundraising records are being smashed and pundits point to Sonia’s debate performance as reason for voters to switch to vote Green.  Click here to find ways to support the BC Green campaign in this crucial final week: <a href="https://www.sgigreenparty.ca/r?u=K2x0MT7utcGjIhuQP-zjaC04qY4wqEVOk3VaNTwvlYBN1BhYtoURLK6lWbu1ILi9bd78xmVhl-soeYpp2pvdVQ&amp;e=804484a1d2d98bc4fce839fe8428f671&amp;utm_source=saanichgulfislandsgreenpartyca&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=gsm_20201018&amp;n=4&amp;test_email=1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://www.bcgreens.ca/support_sonia_furstenau?splash=1</a></p>
<p>And looking to other inspiring Green leaders, Annamie Paul continues to impress at the national level. In a stunning column in the Toronto Star, three prominent names from the three main parties call on voters in Toronto Centre to vote Green. Liberal Greg Sorbara, former Minister of Finance, veteran Tory Hugh Segal and NDP former Cabinet minister Zanana Akande penned a call to non-partisan support for Annamie Paul, saying she “deserves to win” in Toronto Centre. <a href="https://www.sgigreenparty.ca/r?u=oXUvZpSRbX0fPVPxRvBOt11WyzMn5_kkvxlDHOsX4wlcNnmTIldnT7pE3k4TJOwGW23eoZP8mXx7mS_JS5clW3LX-09yjoiPWH6ajWIpL6rB208e9vBw1ZH4sf7a15Tiwbwm2tRHCdtKONM0aEgMqOhcC8VytPjHVRgFLtRYwUlefdK9WbFhrvGSLMf3MZln&amp;e=804484a1d2d98bc4fce839fe8428f671&amp;utm_source=saanichgulfislandsgreenpartyca&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=gsm_20201018&amp;n=5&amp;test_email=1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://www.thestar.com/opinion/contributors/2020/10/13/green-party-leader-annamie-paul-deserves-to-win-toronto-centre-byelection.html</a></p>
<p>Annamie and her team are giving it their all – despite the high COVID rates in this densely populated urban riding.  Please offer to help. This link takes you to instructions for how to volunteer and make phone calls into the riding, how to donate and when to join call-in parties! <a href="https://www.sgigreenparty.ca/r?u=_HWQDcyAF1hkgCSeSvu5yYJKgD889M8q6y4bD6ovZC8duyM7WwslvoYL4gJb-ApF&amp;e=804484a1d2d98bc4fce839fe8428f671&amp;utm_source=saanichgulfislandsgreenpartyca&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=gsm_20201018&amp;n=6&amp;test_email=1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://www.annamiepaul.ca/welcome</a></p>
<p>Lastly, I am distressed that former NDP MP Murray Rankin’s terrible offence against Canada remains unmentioned as he runs in what was Andrew Weaver’s Green seat in Victoria. In 2015, media could never get him to answer the simplest of questions: how much were you paid by Bilcon, a US mining company, to testify against Canada?  I know of several people who have sent letters to the editor of the Times Colonist on the Bilcon issue, but the letters remain unpublished.</p>
<p>Nicole Duncan, school trustee, is a tremendous Green candidate in Oak Bay-Gordon Head. Read about Nicole here: <a href="https://www.sgigreenparty.ca/r?u=UVlcPDJmEhJY2ytUtcBR5fAGChMeosc5AxSqfftOFeJv0-Cxk8gTtofEGV_WsdBg&amp;e=804484a1d2d98bc4fce839fe8428f671&amp;utm_source=saanichgulfislandsgreenpartyca&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=gsm_20201018&amp;n=7&amp;test_email=1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://nitter.fdn.fr/NicoleBCDuncan</a></p>
<p>Read about Murray Rankin, here:  <a href="https://www.sgigreenparty.ca/r?u=8xWVUYyTEp_xh7OWYNOI1xvu58CzEYWVqJE4kUcxGm1nVltCV0XrRigTGOMioYRT&amp;e=804484a1d2d98bc4fce839fe8428f671&amp;utm_source=saanichgulfislandsgreenpartyca&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=gsm_20201018&amp;n=8&amp;test_email=1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">http://focusonline.ca/?q=node/930</a></p>
<p><strong>And here.</strong></p>
<p><a href="https://www.sgigreenparty.ca/r?u=Zy5J8U8t-LnBcSk3h2Xcj_wi8PaWeN8wOEoF9zPrEkuipz9YMHINHgyurP8i1tu3Rln0iCJzGqL9QyRUkuqabDJhbQe-yevys1RrjXiX9A8&amp;e=804484a1d2d98bc4fce839fe8428f671&amp;utm_source=saanichgulfislandsgreenpartyca&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=gsm_20201018&amp;n=9&amp;test_email=1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2015/10/17/Trade-Deals-Core-Community-Values/</a></p>
<p>Please, if you live in Victoria, do whatever you can to help Nicole hold that Green seat!</p>
<p>Best wishes for the coming week!  In the PS to this message I am sharing a survey that the Canadian Federation of University Women, a group to which I belong, is circulating. If you are a senior, please take a moment to fill it out.</p>
<p>With love and thanks,</p>
<p>Elizabeth</p>
<p>P.S.</p>
<p>CFUW Senior&#8217; Survey:  Senior Issues Related to Aging.</p>
<p>Although this is a very comprehensive survey, it takes about 6 minutes to complete.</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><a href="https://www.sgigreenparty.ca/r?u=h9S4XiYLh2vmKd5gsI_G918YPdZrZoh-kquoAPFKpY9le5GUIq0ZziKvodpzhjKG&amp;e=804484a1d2d98bc4fce839fe8428f671&amp;utm_source=saanichgulfislandsgreenpartyca&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=gsm_20201018&amp;n=10&amp;test_email=1" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/RXHK962</a></span></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca/good-sunday-morning-oct-18/">Good Sunday Morning &#8211; Oct 18</a> appeared first on <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca">Elizabeth May</a>.</p>
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		<title>What to make of the federal by-elections?</title>
		<link>https://elizabethmaymp.ca/what-to-make-of-the-federal-by-elections/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Craig Cantin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Dec 2012 17:29:11 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Island Tides]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bev Oda]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brian Mulroney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[by-elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Calgary Centre]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Canada-China Foreign Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Turner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Denise Savoie]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Donald Galloway]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Durham]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral Reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gwaii Haanas National Park Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lee Richardson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Party Cooperation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Victoria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Virginia Ervin]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://elizabethmaymp.ca?p=7994</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>On November 26, voters in three ridings went to the polls to replace MPs who resigned within the last few months. In June, Calgary Centre Conservative Lee Richardson&#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca/what-to-make-of-the-federal-by-elections/">What to make of the federal by-elections?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca">Elizabeth May</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On November 26, voters in three ridings went to the polls to replace MPs who resigned within the last few months. In June, Calgary Centre Conservative Lee Richardson resigned to accept a position as Premier Alison Redford’s chief of staff; in July, Bev Oda resigned, hounded by scandals of her own and the Prime Minister’s making; and in late August, popular Victoria MP Denise Savoie retired early for health reasons.</p>
<p>On the basis of the 2011 election results, none of the seats were in any doubt. In each case, the outgoing MP had won with more than 50% of the vote. Each was what pundits like to call ‘a safe seat.’</p>
<p>The Green Party looked at Calgary Centre right away. The Alberta provincial election had exposed a split among Conservative voters. Stephen Harper and his Alberta MPs had been pretty transparent in promoting the Wild Rose Party and its leader Danielle Smith. It might have been wise for Harper’s team to be less exuberant about the prospects of a majority Wild Rose government in Alberta based on polls—polls which turned out to be spectacularly wrong. Lee Richardson is an old school, decent, Progressive Conservative. (I have known him since the 1980s when he was in Mulroney’s PMO and lent a hand in creating Gwaii Haanas National Park). It was shocking when he announced his departure in the House and every party rose in turn to pay tribute to his long record of service—except the Conservatives. When I was at the Calgary Stampede, for the first time, people would say ‘I am an Alison Redford Conservative; not a Stephen Harper Conservative.’ Greens had always done relatively well in Calgary Centre, with a high of 17% of the vote in 2008. So we had something of a base and only needed a great candidate. When nationally renowned author Chris Turner agreed to seek the Green Party nomination (after a lot of soul-searching, as he had never imagined himself in politics), we decided we were all in to try to win a seat in Stephen Harper’s backyard.</p>
<p>It was a shock when Denise resigned. Unlike the Calgary Centre nomination, where no one in media wondered how the Green Party would do, within hours the local media was full of speculation. The usual media ‘conventional wisdom’ decided that Victoria was a test for the Green Party and for me. Unlike Calgary, where we hoped for a surprise upset, suddenly in Victoria we had no choice but to run a really serious campaign. We had never done so before because Denise was such a strong MP. Even Greens voted for her. But now, if we didn’t make a serious effort to at least significantly improve our vote, we would be judged harshly.</p>
<p>When one of my oldest friends, Donald Galloway, agreed to run (another wonderful person who had never imagined running for office), we began to get organized in Victoria as well. In Durham, Green candidate Virginia Ervin ran a great campaign, but we could not see any likelihood of the Conservative grip on that riding slipping at all. So we did not emphasize the Durham by-election.</p>
<p>Now that the dust has settled, it is clear we made good choices in deciding to run hard in both Calgary and Victoria. Where the previous winning candidates had won with over 50% of the vote, in the by-election, the races became very close. In both cases, they were squeakers. In Calgary, it turned into a three-way race, with only a ten-point spread between the winner Conservative Joan Crockatt and Green candidate Chris Turner.</p>
<p>Liberals, who came in second, have spoken bitterly of the Green vote ‘splitting’ their vote. As Chris Turner pointed out in a column in the Globe and Mail, the first poll gave the Liberal 30% of the vote and Chris Turner 8%. By election day, the Greens had over 25% of the vote and the Liberal candidate 32%. So it is hard to make a claim we took votes from the Liberal column. Chris believes he engaged people who otherwise would not have voted at all.</p>
<p>Victoria was a lot closer. In fact, the majority of the votes cast on November 26 were for Donald Galloway. It was the votes cast in Advance Polls that gave the win to a very strong candidate (and another old friend of mine) new NDP MP Murray Rankin.</p>
<p>Some pundits have said this shows that Thomas Mulcair is not as popular as the late Jack Layton, to explain the difference between NDP votes in 2011 and 2012. I doubt there is much in that. I think that a lot of the votes in 2011 were not NDP votes at all. They were Denise Savoie votes. With the chance to look at all the candidates, Donald Galloway really impressed. Especially for those who attended the all-candidates debates, Donald won people over by being the most impressive in a field of good candidates. Economist Paul Summerville had been an NDPcandidate in Ontario and ran a one-issue campaign (which I regret as it allowed media to ignore important issues like climate, and parliamentary democracy and fracking and so on). Dale Gann was as good a candidate as the Conservatives could ever hope to have. He runs the Vancouver Island Technology Centre, is progressive and articulate.</p>
<p>The real story here is the collapse of the Conservative vote. Having come in second in 2011 in Victoria with 23% of the vote, the Conservative vote dropped to third place and a poor one at that, with 14% of the vote. The Liberals were just behind in fourth place. My belief is that the Conservative vote was torpedoed way before Denise resigned. It evaporated in the wake of nasty partisan swipes at anyone in BC who opposes supertankers full of bitumen crude. Epithets of ‘radicals’ and ‘against Canada’ and ‘foreign-funded’ opponents of the national interest turned off Conservatives in droves. If I were a Conservative MP in BC, these results would make me very nervous.</p>
<p>And that is very good news indeed. I keep working to stop the ratification of the Canada-China Investment Treaty where our only hope lies now in Conservative MPs pressuring the Prime Minister. Conservative MPs know their voters want them to reject the treaty—or face their wrath at the polls.</p>
<p>Something seems to be getting through. Lately, Stephen Harper’s messaging around Enbridge’s Northern Gateway project has started to re-align to reality. I can see the ground shifting, such that even the Prime Minister may walk away from that one. (However, with Kinder Morgan’s Trans Mountain pipeline twinning coming onstream, I do not want to declare any premature victories for fear of losing the energy of the campaign to prevent supertankers on our coast.)</p>
<p>The by-elections have been a boost for the Green Party. It is wonderful to see such a large rise in the Green vote overall. And, yes, I do wish I had another Green MP to help me with the work I am doing in Parliament and to represent the people of Victoria, not just deliver partisan messages disseminated from the leader’s office. Donald Galloway was a superb candidate and, like Chris Turner, I hope they will take the Green banner forward again in the future.</p>
<p>My goal now is to work to get the Liberals and New Democrats to agree to cooperation in the next election. We need to develop a one-time pact to cooperate, and then after one election, get rid of first-past-the post elections for good.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca/what-to-make-of-the-federal-by-elections/">What to make of the federal by-elections?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://elizabethmaymp.ca">Elizabeth May</a>.</p>
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		<title>(Français) Le bulletin de l&#8217;opposition</title>
		<link>https://elizabethmaymp.ca/f-le-bulletin-de-lopposition/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Craig Cantin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Dec 2012 12:59:36 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[In the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[by-elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Party Cooperation]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://elizabethmaymp.ca?p=7833</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Sorry, this entry is only available in Français.</p>
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